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India's Monsoon Rains to Be Below Average, Says Government Forecaster



(New Delhi, May 24, 2023): India's monsoon rains, which are crucial for the country's agriculture, are expected to be below average this year, according to a government forecaster. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) said that the monsoon rains are likely to be 94% of the long-term average. This would be the third consecutive year that the monsoon rains have been below average.


The IMD said that the below-average monsoon rains are due to a number of factors, including a weak El Niño event and a La Niña event. El Niño and La Niña are climate patterns that can affect weather patterns around the world. El Niño is associated with warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean, while La Niña is associated with cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the same region.


The IMD said that the below-average monsoon rains could have a significant impact on India's agriculture sector. The monsoon rains are responsible for about 70% of the country's annual rainfall, and they are essential for the growth of crops such as rice, wheat, and corn. A below-average monsoon could lead to crop failures and food shortages.

The IMD said that the government is taking steps to mitigate the impact of the below-average monsoon rains. The government has announced a relief package of ₹10,000 crore (US$125 million) for farmers who are affected by the drought. The government is also working to increase the production of food grains and other crops.


The below-average monsoon rains could also have a significant impact on India's economy. The agricultural sector is a major contributor to the country's GDP, and a drought could lead to a decline in agricultural output. This could lead to higher food prices and inflation. The drought could also lead to job losses in the agricultural sector.


The below-average monsoon rains will have a disproportionate impact on the poor. The poor are more likely to be employed in the agricultural sector, and they are more likely to be food insecure. The drought could lead to a decline in the incomes of the poor, and it could lead to an increase in hunger and malnutrition.


The government can take a number of steps to mitigate the impact of the drought. The government can provide financial assistance to farmers who are affected by the drought. The government can also provide food aid to the poor. The government can also work to increase the production of food grains and other crops.


The below-average monsoon rains are a serious threat to India's agriculture sector and economy. The government needs to take immediate steps to mitigate the impact of the drought. The government needs to provide financial assistance to farmers who are affected by the drought. The government also needs to provide food aid to the poor. The government also needs to work to increase the production of food grains and other crops.

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